The Challenge
One-click checkout seemed like a huge opportunity: reducing friction at checkout means more completed purchases. Fast raised $120M (including from Stripe) to build the fastest checkout experience on the internet.
The problem: one-click checkout was already solved. Apple Pay, Google Pay, Shop Pay (Shopify), and Amazon Pay all existed. Fast was entering a market with multiple well-funded, well-integrated incumbents.
The Approach — Tools in Action
A Decision Matrix comparing checkout solutions would have revealed Fast's impossible position:
| Criteria | Apple Pay | Shop Pay | Amazon Pay | Fast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| User base | 1B+ devices | 100M+ | 300M+ accounts | Zero |
| Merchant integration | Built into Safari | Built into Shopify | Built into Amazon | Requires custom integration |
| Trust | Apple brand | Shopify brand | Amazon brand | Unknown startup |
| Switching cost for merchants | Zero (built in) | Zero (built in) | Low | High (custom integration) |
Fast was competing with solutions that were already built into the platforms merchants used. Why would a merchant spend time integrating Fast when Apple Pay and Shop Pay are already available?
What they needed — Pre-mortem:"Imagine Fast has shut down after burning $120M. Why?"
- We couldn't convince merchants to integrate our button when Apple Pay/Shop Pay is already built in
- Our total transaction volume was negligible
- We spent most of our money on hiring and marketing, not on solving the actual integration problem
- The CEO focused on Twitter presence and media coverage instead of product-market fit
The Outcome
Fast's failure was stark:
- Burned through $120M in funding in approximately 3 years
- Reportedly processed only $600K in total gross merchandise value — across ALL merchants, EVER
- That means they spent approximately $200 for every $1 of revenue processed
- Shut down in April 2022 and laid off all ~400 employees
- CEO Domm Holland was widely followed on Twitter (100K+ followers), creating a public narrative of success that didn't match the underlying metrics
Key Takeaway
Before scaling, honestly assess whether your product is 10x better than existing alternatives. Use a Decision Matrix to compare. If incumbents already solve the problem adequately, no amount of funding or marketing will create product-market fit.
Tools Used in This Story
Decision Matrix
Decision MakingChoose the best option by considering multiple factors
Pre-mortem
Decision MakingImagine failure before it happens to prevent it
Confidence determines speed vs. quality
Decision MakingDetermine a trade-off between speed and quality when building products